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The
objective of our investment program is to achieve superior capital
growth through investing in a diversified portfolio of publicly
traded stocks in the markets of the Asia ex-Japan region. The markets
include South Korea, Taiwan, China, Hong Kong, the Philippines,
Malaysia, Singapore, Thailand, and Indonesia.
The
Asia region has recently emerged out of its greatest economic peril
over the period of 1997 through 1998. With assistance from IMF,
crisis countries such as S. Korea and Thailand have delivered positive
GDP growth this year. The region's better than expected economic
performance has been aided by recent turnaround in Japan's economy
and world economic growth. Robust export growth, increasing domestic
demand, and healthy current account surpluses are providing support
to the region's currencies and liquidity. In line with the positive
macro environment, Asian stock markets have advanced over 40% this
year.
We
believe that a carefully constructed portfolio of stocks traded
on the Asian markets will produce long-term superior growth. The
investment strategy will incorporate both "top-down" assessment
of macro economic factors and "bottom-up" selection of
stocks.
The
portfolio is expected to be a diversified one. Diversification has
the advantage of reducing a portfolio's volatility. It is achieved
by investing in companies across a range of different businesses.
The portfolio will normally be fully invested. However, in periods
of market volatility, cash may be raised to as much as 50% of the
total assets in the portfolio.
How
We Invest
We
seek to identify companies that are leaders in their industries,
that have produced attractive earnings growth in the recent past
(including the crisis years), that possess strong financial strength
and that are likely to achieve rapid earnings growth in the future.
We would not invest in a non-"blue chip" stock unless
we know the owner and the management of the company personally.
Our investment style is research intensive, and our due diligence
and analysis of a company's operations is comparable to the level
of work in private equity investing. In addition, insights on companies
and industries are gained through an extensive network of contacts
built by Mr. Kwei over years of investing in the Asian region.
We
use a variety of valuation techniques when determining the appropriate
entry price for a stock. When data can be gathered and earnings
forecasts can be developed internally, we use a discounted cash
flow model to arrive at the present value of the stock. In many
cases, however, not enough information is available for such a rigorous
analysis. We would then use the price to earnings multiple as a
tool and consider its prevailing value vs. its past and vs. its
peers in the industry. In asset intensive businesses such as real
estate investment and development, we would rely primarily on the
calculation of net asset value as the valuation benchmark.
The
Manager will follow a conservative investment policy, looking for
stocks that are trading at good value and avoid ones that are highly
speculative. Unless the fundamentals of a company have changed,
its stock is likely to be held. Therefore, turnover of the portfolio
will not be high.
Once
a stock is selected, we will monitor the company's development continually.
We have contacts with our core holdings on a regular basis and meet
with their management at least annually.
We
pay a lot of attention to macro forces that affect the performance
of markets. Liquidity flow is a very important measure. We also
monitor closely political and economic conditions in the various
countries and either avoid totally or significantly underweight
those markets that exhibit adverse developments. Investor sentiment
often drives short-term performance of markets. While we try to
maintain a long-term outlook on investments, we will at times take
short-term profits or cut losses when market conditions are exceptionally
volatile.
Due
to our long experience in Asia, we often learn about potential corporate
actions and will take advantage of them before their upside potential
is reflected in the market. These so-called special situations are
"icing on the cake" and will provide out-performance for
our portfolio.
Summary
Our
investment approach takes into account the following major factors:
| 1. |
Fundamental
stock picking supported by intensive research and analysis and
based on criteria stated above; |
| 2. |
Close
monitoring of political and economic conditions as well as liquidity
flows for asset allocation purposes; and |
| 3. |
Taking
advantage of special situations to gain extra profits. |
We
believe that if we do our job well in the above-mentioned factors,
we will enjoy a consistent and superior investment record over the
long run.
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